Sports Advisors

College football · Week 9 · 2026

Texas State at Boise State: Prediction & Pick

Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 10:00 PM EDT · Albertsons Stadium

Texas State logoTexas StatePac-12
at
Boise State logoBoise StatePac-12

Model projection & pick

Research pick Locked Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 2:23 PM EDT

Pick
Texas State +11.5 (spread)
Model edge
2.2 pts · lean, below the model's play threshold
Projected score
Texas State 26.1, Boise State 37.1
Win probability
Texas State 25.7% · Boise State 74.3%
Line at lock
Boise State -11.5 · O/U 64.5 (DraftKings)

This is the last model snapshot saved before kickoff, shown exactly as stored. If the line moves, a newer snapshot may be saved before kickoff; the last one saved before kickoff is the one graded. Research picks come from a model whose inputs are not fully certified. See the full model record.

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