College football · Week 9 · 2026
Mississippi State at Texas: Prediction & Pick
Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM EDT · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Mississippi StateSECat
TexasSEC- KickoffSat, Oct 31, 2026, 7:30 PM EDT
- VenueDKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- TVESPN
- Current lineTexas -20.5 · O/U 50.5 (DraftKings) as of Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 2:23 PM EDT
- Weather80°F · Mostly Cloudy · wind 0 mph · 13% chance of precipitation National Weather Service forecast as of Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 2:24 PM EDT
Model projection & pick
Research pick Locked Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 11:01 AM EDT
- Pick
- Mississippi State +21 (spread)
- Model edge
- 3.0 pts · lean, below the model's play threshold
- Projected score
- Mississippi State 16.1, Texas 36.4
- Win probability
- Mississippi State 12.0% · Texas 88.0%
- Line at lock
- Texas -21 · O/U 51.5 (DraftKings)
This is the last model snapshot saved before kickoff, shown exactly as stored. If the line moves, a newer snapshot may be saved before kickoff; the last one saved before kickoff is the one graded. Research picks come from a model whose inputs are not fully certified. See the full model record.
More Week 9 games
- Delaware at Western KentuckyTue, Oct 27, 7:00 PM EDT · Western Kentucky -1.5 · O/U 57.5
- Sam Houston at Missouri StateTue, Oct 27, 8:00 PM EDT · Missouri State -6 · O/U 51.5
- Kennesaw State at Middle TennesseeWed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM EDT · Middle Tennessee -2.5 · O/U 50.5
- Jacksonville State at New Mexico StateWed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM EDT · Jacksonville State -3.5 · O/U 49.5
- Florida Atlantic at North TexasThu, Oct 29, 7:30 PM EDT · North Texas -13.5 · O/U 77.5
- Troy at James MadisonThu, Oct 29, 7:30 PM EDT · James Madison -21 · O/U 49.5
- Tulane at CharlotteFri, Oct 30, 7:00 PM EDT · Tulane -10 · O/U 46.5
- Baylor at UCFFri, Oct 30, 7:30 PM EDT · UCF -1.5 · O/U 47.5
- Arizona at Texas TechSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · Texas Tech -3.5 · O/U 54.5
- California at NC StateSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · NC State -7 · O/U 56.5
- SMU at SyracuseSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · SMU -10 · O/U 58.5
- Boston College at DukeSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · Duke -7 · O/U 47.5
- Wisconsin at IowaSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · Iowa -3.5 · O/U 36.5
- Illinois at MarylandSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · Illinois -2.5 · O/U 54.5
- Notre Dame vs NavySat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · Notre Dame -30.5 · O/U 56.5
- UAB at South FloridaSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · South Florida -8.5 · O/U 42.5
- Bowling Green at Western MichiganSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM EDT · Western Michigan -13.5 · O/U 44.5
- Michigan at RutgersSat, Oct 31, 12:30 PM EDT · Michigan -14 · O/U 46.5
- Auburn at Ole MissSat, Oct 31, 12:45 PM EDT · Ole Miss -13.5 · O/U 57.5
- Marshall at Old DominionSat, Oct 31, 1:00 PM EDT · Marshall -2.5 · O/U 45.5
- Kansas State at ColoradoSat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM EDT · Kansas State -2.5 · O/U 47.5
- Coastal Carolina at Georgia StateSat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM EDT · Georgia State -6.5 · O/U 58.5
- UConn at Air ForceSat, Oct 31, 3:00 PM EDT · Air Force -2.5 · O/U 53.5
- Temple at East CarolinaSat, Oct 31, 3:00 PM EDT · East Carolina -6 · O/U 49.5
- Louisiana Tech at South AlabamaSat, Oct 31, 3:00 PM EDT · Louisiana Tech -5.5 · O/U 57.5
- Stanford at LouisvilleSat, Oct 31, 3:15 PM EDT · Louisville -22.5 · O/U 60.5
- Florida vs GeorgiaSat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · Georgia -11.5 · O/U 55.5
- Arizona State at BYUSat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · BYU -16.5 · O/U 48.5
- Kansas at TCUSat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · TCU -6 · O/U 46.5
- Minnesota at IndianaSat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · Indiana -20.5 · O/U 41.5
- Northwestern at OregonSat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · Oregon -3.5 · O/U 47.5
- Colorado State at Utah StateSat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · Utah State -6.5 · O/U 63.5
- Florida International at LibertySat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · Liberty -14 · O/U 44.5
- Southern Miss at UL MonroeSat, Oct 31, 3:30 PM EDT · Southern Miss -3.5 · O/U 55.5
- Utah at CincinnatiSat, Oct 31, 3:45 PM EDT · Utah -6.5 · O/U 56.5
- Virginia at Wake ForestSat, Oct 31, 3:45 PM EDT · Wake Forest -12.5 · O/U 49.5
- New Mexico at San José StateSat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM EDT · New Mexico -14.5 · O/U 42.5
- South Carolina at OklahomaSat, Oct 31, 4:15 PM EDT · Oklahoma -5.5 · O/U 44.5
- Purdue at Penn StateSat, Oct 31, 4:15 PM EDT · Penn State -7.5 · O/U 54.5
- Nevada at UCLASat, Oct 31, 4:15 PM EDT · UCLA -22.5 · O/U 44.5
- App State at Georgia SouthernSat, Oct 31, 6:30 PM EDT · Georgia Southern -5.5 · O/U 56.5
- Oklahoma State at Iowa StateSat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM EDT · Oklahoma State -8.5 · O/U 57.5
- Clemson at Florida StateSat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM EDT · Florida State -6 · O/U 49.5
- Washington State at San Diego StateSat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM EDT · San Diego State -2.5 · O/U 48.5
- Georgia Tech at PittsburghSat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM EDT · Pittsburgh -7.5 · O/U 54.5
- Miami at North CarolinaSat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM EDT · Miami -14.5 · O/U 52.5
- Ohio State at USCSat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM EDT · Ohio State -6.5 · O/U 51.5
- Missouri at ArkansasSat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM EDT · Missouri -10 · O/U 49.5
- Washington at NebraskaSat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM EDT · Nebraska -7.5 · O/U 49.5
- Army at MemphisSat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM EDT · Memphis -6 · O/U 59.5
- Texas State at Boise StateSat, Oct 31, 10:00 PM EDT · Boise State -11.5 · O/U 64.5
- Northern Illinois at UNLVSat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM EDT · UNLV -23.5 · O/U 53.5
- Oregon State at Fresno StateSat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM EDT · Oregon State -5.5 · O/U 57.5